Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia

World Cup 2026 · Group H · Jun 26, 18:00 CDMX FT 0–0

All World Cup Fixtures

1X2 probability

Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.

Blended with no-vig market inputs. Model probability remains visible.

Market-blended

Cape Verde

Model probability 28.7%

Market no-vig 36.1%

Calibrated probability 32.4%

Draw

Model probability 28.5%

Market no-vig 28.7%

Calibrated probability 28.6%

Saudi Arabia

Model probability 42.7%

Market no-vig 35.2%

Calibrated probability 39.0%

Market signals

Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.

External prices shown separately from the model, no-vig, calibrated, and scenario fields.

Odds API match markets

Decimal odds converted to no-vig 1X2 when available.

No match

No Odds API match was found for these teams.

Polymarket match markets

Fixture-specific market search; it does not feed the model.

No match

No active Polymarket match or exact-score market was found for these teams.

World Cup winner

This match's teams in the title race — rank and chance among all contenders, per Polymarket.

Tournament

No Polymarket signal is available right now.

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13.7%

0-0 8.7%

0-1 8.7%

1-0 8.2%

1-2 8.2%

2-1 8.0%

Goal markets

Total 0.5 Under 0.5 8.7% Over 0.5 91.3%

Total 1.5 Under 1.5 25.6% Over 1.5 74.4%

Total 2.5 Under 2.5 51.9% Over 2.5 48.1%

Total 3.5 Under 3.5 73.7% Over 3.5 26.3%

BTTS yes 53.7%

BTTS no 46.3%

Team markets

Home clean sheet 25.4%

Away clean sheet 29.7%

Home win to nil 16.7%

Away win to nil 21.0%

Home over 0.5 70.3%

Away over 0.5 74.6%

Handicap snapshot

Home -0.5

Home cover 32.4%

Push 0.0%

Away cover 67.6%

Home 0.0

Home cover 32.4%

Push 28.6%

Away cover 39.0%

Home 0.5

Home cover 61.0%