Uzbekistan vs Colombia

World Cup 2026 · Group K · Jun 17, 20:00 CDMX FT 1–3

All World Cup Fixtures

1X2 probability

Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.

Blended with no-vig market inputs. Model probability remains visible.

Market-blended

Uzbekistan

Model probability 5.9%

Market no-vig 10.0%

Calibrated probability 8.0%

Draw

Model probability 18.2%

Market no-vig 19.5%

Calibrated probability 18.8%

Colombia

Model probability 75.9%

Market no-vig 70.5%

Calibrated probability 73.2%

Market signals

Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.

External prices shown separately from the model, no-vig, calibrated, and scenario fields.

Odds API match markets

Decimal odds converted to no-vig 1X2 when available.

No match

No Odds API match was found for these teams.

Polymarket match markets

Fixture-specific market search; it does not feed the model.

No match

No active Polymarket match or exact-score market was found for these teams.

World Cup winner

This match's teams in the title race — rank and chance among all contenders, per Polymarket.

Tournament

No Polymarket signal is available right now.

Most likely scorelines

0-2 16.4%

0-1 14.6%

0-3 11.7%

0-0 8.4%

1-1 8.3%

1-2 7.5%

Goal markets

Total 0.5 Under 0.5 8.4% Over 0.5 91.6%

Total 1.5 Under 1.5 26.7% Over 1.5 73.3%

Total 2.5 Under 2.5 52.5% Over 2.5 47.5%

Total 3.5 Under 3.5 74.1% Over 3.5 25.9%

BTTS yes 33.7%

BTTS no 66.3%

Team markets

Home clean sheet 13.3%

Away clean sheet 61.5%

Home win to nil 4.9%

Away win to nil 53.0%

Home over 0.5 38.5%

Away over 0.5 86.7%

Handicap snapshot

Home -0.5

Home cover 8.0%

Push 0.0%

Away cover 92.0%

Home 0.0

Home cover 8.0%

Push 18.8%

Away cover 73.2%

Home 0.5

Home cover 26.8%