Morocco vs Haiti

World Cup 2026 · Group C · Jun 24, 16:00 CDMX FT 4–2

All World Cup Fixtures

1X2 probability

Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.

Blended with no-vig market inputs. Model probability remains visible.

Market-blended

Morocco

Model probability 83.1%

Market no-vig 75.1%

Calibrated probability 79.1%

Draw

Model probability 14.0%

Market no-vig 16.2%

Calibrated probability 15.1%

Haiti

Model probability 2.9%

Market no-vig 8.7%

Calibrated probability 5.8%

Market signals

Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.

External prices shown separately from the model, no-vig, calibrated, and scenario fields.

Odds API match markets

Decimal odds converted to no-vig 1X2 when available.

No match

No Odds API match was found for these teams.

Polymarket match markets

Fixture-specific market search; it does not feed the model.

No match

No active Polymarket match or exact-score market was found for these teams.

World Cup winner

This match's teams in the title race — rank and chance among all contenders, per Polymarket.

Tournament

No Polymarket signal is available right now.

Most likely scorelines

2-0 18.6%

1-0 15.3%

3-0 14.5%

4-0 8.5%

0-0 8.2%

1-1 5.9%

Goal markets

Total 0.5 Under 0.5 8.2% Over 0.5 91.8%

Total 1.5 Under 1.5 26.7% Over 1.5 73.3%

Total 2.5 Under 2.5 51.9% Over 2.5 48.1%

Total 3.5 Under 3.5 73.5% Over 3.5 26.5%

BTTS yes 24.6%

BTTS no 75.4%

Team markets

Home clean sheet 71.5%

Away clean sheet 12.1%

Home win to nil 63.3%

Away win to nil 3.9%

Home over 0.5 87.9%

Away over 0.5 28.5%

Handicap snapshot

Home -0.5

Home cover 79.1%

Push 0.0%

Away cover 20.9%

Home 0.0

Home cover 79.1%

Push 15.1%

Away cover 5.8%

Home 0.5

Home cover 94.2%