Scotland vs Brazil

World Cup 2026 · Group C · Jun 24, 16:00 CDMX FT 0–3

All World Cup Fixtures

1X2 probability

Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.

Blended with no-vig market inputs. Model probability remains visible.

Market-blended

Scotland

Model probability 7.0%

Market no-vig 9.4%

Calibrated probability 8.2%

Draw

Model probability 19.3%

Market no-vig 17.9%

Calibrated probability 18.6%

Brazil

Model probability 73.7%

Market no-vig 72.7%

Calibrated probability 73.2%

Market signals

Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.

External prices shown separately from the model, no-vig, calibrated, and scenario fields.

Odds API match markets

Decimal odds converted to no-vig 1X2 when available.

No match

No Odds API match was found for these teams.

Polymarket match markets

Fixture-specific market search; it does not feed the model.

No match

No active Polymarket match or exact-score market was found for these teams.

World Cup winner

This match's teams in the title race — rank and chance among all contenders, per Polymarket.

Tournament

No Polymarket signal is available right now.

Most likely scorelines

0-2 16.1%

0-1 14.6%

0-3 11.2%

1-1 8.4%

1-2 8.2%

0-0 7.9%

Goal markets

Total 0.5 Under 0.5 7.9% Over 0.5 92.1%

Total 1.5 Under 1.5 26.1% Over 1.5 73.9%

Total 2.5 Under 2.5 51.7% Over 2.5 48.3%

Total 3.5 Under 3.5 73.7% Over 3.5 26.3%

BTTS yes 35.7%

BTTS no 64.3%

Team markets

Home clean sheet 12.8%

Away clean sheet 59.4%

Home win to nil 4.9%

Away win to nil 51.5%

Home over 0.5 40.6%

Away over 0.5 87.2%

Handicap snapshot

Home -0.5

Home cover 8.2%

Push 0.0%

Away cover 91.8%

Home 0.0

Home cover 8.2%

Push 18.6%

Away cover 73.2%

Home 0.5

Home cover 26.8%