Austria vs Jordan

World Cup 2026 · Group J · Jun 15, 22:00 CDMX FT 3–1

All World Cup Fixtures

1X2 probability

Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.

Blended with no-vig market inputs. Model probability remains visible.

Market-blended

Austria

Model probability 79.4%

Market no-vig 71.2%

Calibrated probability 75.3%

Draw

Model probability 16.3%

Market no-vig 17.9%

Calibrated probability 17.1%

Jordan

Model probability 4.3%

Market no-vig 10.9%

Calibrated probability 7.6%

Market signals

Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.

External prices shown separately from the model, no-vig, calibrated, and scenario fields.

Odds API match markets

Decimal odds converted to no-vig 1X2 when available.

No match

No Odds API match was found for these teams.

Polymarket match markets

Fixture-specific market search; it does not feed the model.

No match

No active Polymarket match or exact-score market was found for these teams.

World Cup winner

This match's teams in the title race — rank and chance among all contenders, per Polymarket.

Tournament

No Polymarket signal is available right now.

Most likely scorelines

2-0 17.3%

1-0 15.0%

3-0 12.9%

0-0 8.4%

1-1 7.2%

4-0 7.2%

Goal markets

Total 0.5 Under 0.5 8.4% Over 0.5 91.6%

Total 1.5 Under 1.5 27.2% Over 1.5 72.8%

Total 2.5 Under 2.5 52.6% Over 2.5 47.4%

Total 3.5 Under 3.5 74.3% Over 3.5 25.7%

BTTS yes 29.4%

BTTS no 70.6%

Team markets

Home clean sheet 65.7%

Away clean sheet 13.3%

Home win to nil 57.3%

Away win to nil 4.9%

Home over 0.5 86.7%

Away over 0.5 34.3%

Handicap snapshot

Home -0.5

Home cover 75.3%

Push 0.0%

Away cover 24.7%

Home 0.0

Home cover 75.3%

Push 17.1%

Away cover 7.6%

Home 0.5

Home cover 92.4%