Brazil vs Morocco

World Cup 2026 · Group C · Jun 13, 16:00 CDMX FT 1–1

All World Cup Fixtures

1X2 probability

Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.

Blended with no-vig market inputs. Model probability remains visible.

Market-blended

Brazil

Model probability 59.1%

Market no-vig 57.0%

Calibrated probability 58.1%

Draw

Model probability 25.1%

Market no-vig 25.9%

Calibrated probability 25.5%

Morocco

Model probability 15.8%

Market no-vig 17.1%

Calibrated probability 16.4%

Market signals

Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.

External prices shown separately from the model, no-vig, calibrated, and scenario fields.

Odds API match markets

Decimal odds converted to no-vig 1X2 when available.

No match

No Odds API match was found for these teams.

Polymarket match markets

Fixture-specific market search; it does not feed the model.

No match

No active Polymarket match or exact-score market was found for these teams.

World Cup winner

This match's teams in the title race — rank and chance among all contenders, per Polymarket.

Tournament

No Polymarket signal is available right now.

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12.1%

1-0 11.9%

2-0 11.6%

2-1 9.5%

0-0 8.6%

3-0 6.9%

Goal markets

Total 0.5 Under 0.5 8.6% Over 0.5 91.4%

Total 1.5 Under 1.5 25.8% Over 1.5 74.2%

Total 2.5 Under 2.5 52.0% Over 2.5 48.0%

Total 3.5 Under 3.5 73.7% Over 3.5 26.3%

BTTS yes 47.8%

BTTS no 52.2%

Team markets

Home clean sheet 43.6%

Away clean sheet 17.3%

Home win to nil 34.9%

Away win to nil 8.7%

Home over 0.5 82.7%

Away over 0.5 56.4%

Handicap snapshot

Home -0.5

Home cover 58.1%

Push 0.0%

Away cover 41.9%

Home 0.0

Home cover 58.1%

Push 25.5%

Away cover 16.4%

Home 0.5

Home cover 83.6%