Czechia vs South Africa

World Cup 2026 · Group A · Jun 18, 10:00 CDMX FT 1–1

All World Cup Fixtures

1X2 probability

Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.

Blended with no-vig market inputs. Model probability remains visible.

Market-blended

Czechia

Model probability 63.5%

Market no-vig 51.4%

Calibrated probability 57.4%

Draw

Model probability 23.6%

Market no-vig 27.5%

Calibrated probability 25.5%

South Africa

Model probability 12.9%

Market no-vig 21.1%

Calibrated probability 17.0%

Market signals

Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.

External prices shown separately from the model, no-vig, calibrated, and scenario fields.

Odds API match markets

Decimal odds converted to no-vig 1X2 when available.

No match

No Odds API match was found for these teams.

Polymarket match markets

Fixture-specific market search; it does not feed the model.

No match

No active Polymarket match or exact-score market was found for these teams.

World Cup winner

This match's teams in the title race — rank and chance among all contenders, per Polymarket.

Tournament

No Polymarket signal is available right now.

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12.1%

2-0 11.8%

1-0 11.7%

0-0 9.1%

2-1 8.6%

3-0 7.3%

Goal markets

Total 0.5 Under 0.5 9.1% Over 0.5 90.9%

Total 1.5 Under 1.5 26.6% Over 1.5 73.4%

Total 2.5 Under 2.5 53.0% Over 2.5 47.0%

Total 3.5 Under 3.5 74.4% Over 3.5 25.6%

BTTS yes 45.7%

BTTS no 54.3%

Team markets

Home clean sheet 45.1%

Away clean sheet 18.3%

Home win to nil 36.0%

Away win to nil 9.2%

Home over 0.5 81.7%

Away over 0.5 54.9%

Handicap snapshot

Home -0.5

Home cover 57.4%

Push 0.0%

Away cover 42.6%

Home 0.0

Home cover 57.4%

Push 25.5%

Away cover 17.0%

Home 0.5

Home cover 83.0%