Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina

World Cup 2026 · Group B · Jun 18, 13:00 CDMX FT 4–1

All World Cup Fixtures

1X2 probability

Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.

Blended with no-vig market inputs. Model probability remains visible.

Market-blended

Switzerland

Model probability 55.6%

Market no-vig 61.3%

Calibrated probability 58.5%

Draw

Model probability 26.1%

Market no-vig 23.1%

Calibrated probability 24.6%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Model probability 18.3%

Market no-vig 15.5%

Calibrated probability 16.9%

Market signals

Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.

External prices shown separately from the model, no-vig, calibrated, and scenario fields.

Odds API match markets

Decimal odds converted to no-vig 1X2 when available.

No match

No Odds API match was found for these teams.

Polymarket match markets

Fixture-specific market search; it does not feed the model.

No match

No active Polymarket match or exact-score market was found for these teams.

World Cup winner

This match's teams in the title race — rank and chance among all contenders, per Polymarket.

Tournament

No Polymarket signal is available right now.

Most likely scorelines

1-0 12.2%

1-1 11.7%

2-0 11.4%

2-1 10.2%

0-0 8.1%

3-0 6.5%

Goal markets

Total 0.5 Under 0.5 8.1% Over 0.5 91.9%

Total 1.5 Under 1.5 25.3% Over 1.5 74.7%

Total 2.5 Under 2.5 51.2% Over 2.5 48.8%

Total 3.5 Under 3.5 73.3% Over 3.5 26.7%

BTTS yes 48.9%

BTTS no 51.1%

Team markets

Home clean sheet 42.2%

Away clean sheet 16.9%

Home win to nil 34.2%

Away win to nil 8.8%

Home over 0.5 83.1%

Away over 0.5 57.8%

Handicap snapshot

Home -0.5

Home cover 58.5%

Push 0.0%

Away cover 41.5%

Home 0.0

Home cover 58.5%

Push 24.6%

Away cover 16.9%

Home 0.5

Home cover 83.1%