Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar

World Cup 2026 · Group B · Jun 24, 13:00 CDMX FT 3–1

All World Cup Fixtures

1X2 probability

Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.

Blended with no-vig market inputs. Model probability remains visible.

Market-blended

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Model probability 52.6%

Market no-vig 67.9%

Calibrated probability 60.3%

Draw

Model probability 26.8%

Market no-vig 18.7%

Calibrated probability 22.8%

Qatar

Model probability 20.5%

Market no-vig 13.4%

Calibrated probability 16.9%

Market signals

Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.

External prices shown separately from the model, no-vig, calibrated, and scenario fields.

Odds API match markets

Decimal odds converted to no-vig 1X2 when available.

No match

No Odds API match was found for these teams.

Polymarket match markets

Fixture-specific market search; it does not feed the model.

No match

No active Polymarket match or exact-score market was found for these teams.

World Cup winner

This match's teams in the title race — rank and chance among all contenders, per Polymarket.

Tournament

No Polymarket signal is available right now.

Most likely scorelines

1-0 12.7%

2-0 11.6%

2-1 11.0%

1-1 10.9%

0-0 7.3%

3-0 6.4%

Goal markets

Total 0.5 Under 0.5 7.3% Over 0.5 92.7%

Total 1.5 Under 1.5 24.9% Over 1.5 75.1%

Total 2.5 Under 2.5 50.1% Over 2.5 49.9%

Total 3.5 Under 3.5 72.9% Over 3.5 27.1%

BTTS yes 49.5%

BTTS no 50.5%

Team markets

Home clean sheet 41.7%

Away clean sheet 16.1%

Home win to nil 34.4%

Away win to nil 8.8%

Home over 0.5 83.9%

Away over 0.5 58.3%

Handicap snapshot

Home -0.5

Home cover 60.3%

Push 0.0%

Away cover 39.7%

Home 0.0

Home cover 60.3%

Push 22.8%

Away cover 16.9%

Home 0.5

Home cover 83.1%