Curacao vs Ivory Coast

World Cup 2026 · Group E · Jun 25, 14:00 CDMX FT 0–2

All World Cup Fixtures

1X2 probability

Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.

Blended with no-vig market inputs. Model probability remains visible.

Market-blended

Curacao

Model probability 5.9%

Market no-vig 6.0%

Calibrated probability 6.0%

Draw

Model probability 18.2%

Market no-vig 12.0%

Calibrated probability 15.1%

Ivory Coast

Model probability 75.9%

Market no-vig 82.0%

Calibrated probability 78.9%

Market signals

Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.

External prices shown separately from the model, no-vig, calibrated, and scenario fields.

Odds API match markets

Decimal odds converted to no-vig 1X2 when available.

No match

No Odds API match was found for these teams.

Polymarket match markets

Fixture-specific market search; it does not feed the model.

No match

No active Polymarket match or exact-score market was found for these teams.

World Cup winner

This match's teams in the title race — rank and chance among all contenders, per Polymarket.

Tournament

No Polymarket signal is available right now.

Most likely scorelines

0-2 17.7%

0-1 15.8%

0-3 12.6%

1-2 8.1%

0-0 6.8%

0-4 6.8%

Goal markets

Total 0.5 Under 0.5 6.8% Over 0.5 93.2%

Total 1.5 Under 1.5 25.2% Over 1.5 74.8%

Total 2.5 Under 2.5 50.4% Over 2.5 49.6%

Total 3.5 Under 3.5 73.0% Over 3.5 27.0%

BTTS yes 32.4%

BTTS no 67.6%

Team markets

Home clean sheet 10.4%

Away clean sheet 64.0%

Home win to nil 3.6%

Away win to nil 57.2%

Home over 0.5 36.0%

Away over 0.5 89.6%

Handicap snapshot

Home -0.5

Home cover 6.0%

Push 0.0%

Away cover 94.0%

Home 0.0

Home cover 6.0%

Push 15.1%

Away cover 78.9%

Home 0.5

Home cover 21.1%