Odds API match markets
Decimal odds converted to no-vig 1X2 when available.
No Odds API match was found for these teams.
South Korea vs Czechia
World Cup 2026 · Group A · Jun 11, 20:00 CDMX FT 2–1
1X2 probability
Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.
Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.
Blended with no-vig market inputs. Model probability remains visible.
South Korea
Model probability
34.6%
Market no-vig
37.2%
Calibrated probability
35.9%
Draw
Model probability
28.9%
Market no-vig
31.1%
Calibrated probability
30.0%
Czechia
Model probability
36.5%
Market no-vig
31.8%
Calibrated probability
34.1%
Market signals
Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.
Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.
External prices shown separately from the model, no-vig, calibrated, and scenario fields.
Polymarket match markets
Fixture-specific market search; it does not feed the model.
No active Polymarket match or exact-score market was found for these teams.
World Cup winner
This match's teams in the title race — rank and chance among all contenders, per Polymarket.
No Polymarket signal is available right now.
Most likely scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
9.0%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
7.7%
Goal markets
Total 0.5
Under 0.5 9.0%
Over 0.5 91.0%
Total 1.5
Under 1.5 25.6%
Over 1.5 74.4%
Total 2.5
Under 2.5 52.2%
Over 2.5 47.8%
Total 3.5
Under 3.5 73.7%
Over 3.5 26.3%
BTTS yes
54.4%
BTTS no
45.6%
Team markets
Home clean sheet
27.7%
Away clean sheet
26.9%
Home win to nil
18.7%
Away win to nil
17.9%
Home over 0.5
73.1%
Away over 0.5
72.3%
Handicap snapshot
Home -0.5
Home cover
35.9%
Push
0.0%
Away cover
64.1%
Home 0.0
Home cover
35.9%
Push
30.0%
Away cover
34.1%
Home 0.5
Home cover
65.9%
Push
0.0%
Away cover
34.1%
press
Market-blended
1–0
projected score-line
Model scoreline probability
8.3%
Model probability
34.6%
Market no-vig
37.2%
Calibrated probability
35.9%
Explanation weight
41.5%
counter
Market-blended
1–5
projected score-line
Model scoreline probability
0.3%
Model probability
36.5%
Market no-vig
31.8%
Calibrated probability
34.1%
Explanation weight
23.3%
possession
Market-blended
3–2
projected score-line
Model scoreline probability
2.3%
Model probability
34.6%
Market no-vig
37.2%
Calibrated probability
35.9%
Explanation weight
21.2%
high-line
Market-blended
2–1
projected score-line
Model scoreline probability
8.0%
Model probability
34.6%
Market no-vig
37.2%
Calibrated probability
35.9%
Explanation weight
13.8%
counter
Market-blended
0–1
projected score-line
Model scoreline probability
8.5%
Model probability
36.5%
Market no-vig
31.8%
Calibrated probability
34.1%
Explanation weight
0.3%
What-if · shift home expected goals
Drag the slider to explore a counterfactual ensemble.