Jordan vs Algeria

World Cup 2026 · Group J · Jun 22, 21:00 CDMX FT 1–2

All World Cup Fixtures

1X2 probability

Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.

Blended with no-vig market inputs. Model probability remains visible.

Market-blended

Jordan

Model probability 11.7%

Market no-vig 14.0%

Calibrated probability 12.8%

Draw

Model probability 22.9%

Market no-vig 21.8%

Calibrated probability 22.3%

Algeria

Model probability 65.4%

Market no-vig 64.2%

Calibrated probability 64.8%

Market signals

Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.

External prices shown separately from the model, no-vig, calibrated, and scenario fields.

Odds API match markets

Decimal odds converted to no-vig 1X2 when available.

No match

No Odds API match was found for these teams.

Polymarket match markets

Fixture-specific market search; it does not feed the model.

No match

No active Polymarket match or exact-score market was found for these teams.

World Cup winner

This match's teams in the title race — rank and chance among all contenders, per Polymarket.

Tournament

No Polymarket signal is available right now.

Most likely scorelines

0-2 13.4%

0-1 13.1%

1-1 10.5%

1-2 9.3%

0-3 8.5%

0-0 8.2%

Goal markets

Total 0.5 Under 0.5 8.2% Over 0.5 91.8%

Total 1.5 Under 1.5 25.8% Over 1.5 74.2%

Total 2.5 Under 2.5 51.7% Over 2.5 48.3%

Total 3.5 Under 3.5 73.7% Over 3.5 26.3%

BTTS yes 43.4%

BTTS no 56.6%

Team markets

Home clean sheet 15.2%

Away clean sheet 49.6%

Home win to nil 7.0%

Away win to nil 41.4%

Home over 0.5 50.4%

Away over 0.5 84.8%

Handicap snapshot

Home -0.5

Home cover 12.8%

Push 0.0%

Away cover 87.2%

Home 0.0

Home cover 12.8%

Push 22.3%

Away cover 64.8%

Home 0.5

Home cover 35.2%