Odds API match markets
Decimal odds converted to no-vig 1X2 when available.
No Odds API match was found for these teams.
Qatar vs Switzerland
World Cup 2026 · Group B · Jun 13, 13:00 CDMX FT 1–1
1X2 probability
Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.
Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.
Blended with no-vig market inputs. Model probability remains visible.
Qatar
Model probability
11.7%
Market no-vig
6.3%
Calibrated probability
9.0%
Draw
Model probability
22.9%
Market no-vig
13.1%
Calibrated probability
18.0%
Switzerland
Model probability
65.4%
Market no-vig
80.7%
Calibrated probability
73.0%
Market signals
Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.
Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.
External prices shown separately from the model, no-vig, calibrated, and scenario fields.
Polymarket match markets
Fixture-specific market search; it does not feed the model.
No active Polymarket match or exact-score market was found for these teams.
World Cup winner
This match's teams in the title race — rank and chance among all contenders, per Polymarket.
No Polymarket signal is available right now.
Most likely scorelines
0-2
15.1%
0-1
14.7%
1-2
10.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-1
8.5%
1-3
6.6%
Goal markets
Total 0.5
Under 0.5 6.6%
Over 0.5 93.4%
Total 1.5
Under 1.5 24.5%
Over 1.5 75.5%
Total 2.5
Under 2.5 49.5%
Over 2.5 50.5%
Total 3.5
Under 3.5 72.5%
Over 3.5 27.5%
BTTS yes
41.9%
BTTS no
58.1%
Team markets
Home clean sheet
11.5%
Away clean sheet
53.2%
Home win to nil
4.9%
Away win to nil
46.6%
Home over 0.5
46.8%
Away over 0.5
88.5%
Handicap snapshot
Home -0.5
Home cover
9.0%
Push
0.0%
Away cover
91.0%
Home 0.0
Home cover
9.0%
Push
18.0%
Away cover
73.0%
Home 0.5
Home cover
27.0%
Push
0.0%
Away cover
73.0%
counter
Market-blended
3–1
projected score-line
Model scoreline probability
0.8%
Model probability
11.7%
Market no-vig
6.3%
Calibrated probability
9.0%
Explanation weight
43.3%
press
Market-blended
2–1
projected score-line
Model scoreline probability
3.4%
Model probability
11.7%
Market no-vig
6.3%
Calibrated probability
9.0%
Explanation weight
25.1%
possession
Market-blended
2–2
projected score-line
Model scoreline probability
3.2%
Model probability
22.9%
Market no-vig
13.1%
Calibrated probability
18.0%
Explanation weight
19.7%
high-line
Market-blended
1–1
projected score-line
Model scoreline probability
10.8%
Model probability
22.9%
Market no-vig
13.1%
Calibrated probability
18.0%
Explanation weight
10.6%
park-bus
Market-blended
0–2
projected score-line
Model scoreline probability
13.5%
Model probability
65.4%
Market no-vig
80.7%
Calibrated probability
73.0%
Explanation weight
1.2%
What-if · shift home expected goals
Drag the slider to explore a counterfactual ensemble.