Odds API match markets
Decimal odds converted to no-vig 1X2 when available.
No Odds API match was found for these teams.
Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina
World Cup 2026 · Group B · Jun 12, 13:00 CDMX FT 1–1
1X2 probability
Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.
Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.
Blended with no-vig market inputs. Model probability remains visible.
Canada
Model probability
35.5%
Market no-vig
52.3%
Calibrated probability
43.9%
Draw
Model probability
28.9%
Market no-vig
27.4%
Calibrated probability
28.1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Model probability
35.5%
Market no-vig
20.3%
Calibrated probability
27.9%
Market signals
Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.
Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.
External prices shown separately from the model, no-vig, calibrated, and scenario fields.
Polymarket match markets
Fixture-specific market search; it does not feed the model.
No active Polymarket match or exact-score market was found for these teams.
World Cup winner
This match's teams in the title race — rank and chance among all contenders, per Polymarket.
No Polymarket signal is available right now.
Most likely scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10.1%
0-0
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
0-1
6.6%
Goal markets
Total 0.5
Under 0.5 8.5%
Over 0.5 91.5%
Total 1.5
Under 1.5 25.4%
Over 1.5 74.6%
Total 2.5
Under 2.5 51.6%
Over 2.5 48.4%
Total 3.5
Under 3.5 73.6%
Over 3.5 26.4%
BTTS yes
54.0%
BTTS no
46.0%
Team markets
Home clean sheet
31.4%
Away clean sheet
23.0%
Home win to nil
23.0%
Away win to nil
14.6%
Home over 0.5
77.0%
Away over 0.5
68.6%
Handicap snapshot
Home -0.5
Home cover
43.9%
Push
0.0%
Away cover
56.1%
Home 0.0
Home cover
43.9%
Push
28.1%
Away cover
27.9%
Home 0.5
Home cover
72.1%
Push
0.0%
Away cover
27.9%
press
Market-blended
3–2
projected score-line
Model scoreline probability
2.3%
Model probability
35.5%
Market no-vig
52.3%
Calibrated probability
43.9%
Explanation weight
40.2%
counter
Market-blended
2–2
projected score-line
Model scoreline probability
5.3%
Model probability
28.9%
Market no-vig
27.4%
Calibrated probability
28.1%
Explanation weight
28.1%
possession
Market-blended
2–0
projected score-line
Model scoreline probability
6.3%
Model probability
35.5%
Market no-vig
52.3%
Calibrated probability
43.9%
Explanation weight
16.0%
high-line
Market-blended
2–1
projected score-line
Model scoreline probability
8.2%
Model probability
35.5%
Market no-vig
52.3%
Calibrated probability
43.9%
Explanation weight
15.3%
park-bus
Market-blended
2–1
projected score-line
Model scoreline probability
8.2%
Model probability
35.5%
Market no-vig
52.3%
Calibrated probability
43.9%
Explanation weight
0.3%
What-if · shift home expected goals
Drag the slider to explore a counterfactual ensemble.