Switzerland vs Colombia

World Cup 2026 · Round of 16 · Jul 7, 14:00 CDMX FT 0–0

All World Cup Fixtures

1X2 probability

Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.

Blended with no-vig market inputs. Model probability remains visible.

Market-blended

Switzerland

Model probability 28.7%

Market no-vig 26.5%

Calibrated probability 27.6%

Draw

Model probability 28.5%

Market no-vig 32.9%

Calibrated probability 30.7%

Colombia

Model probability 42.7%

Market no-vig 40.6%

Calibrated probability 41.7%

Market signals

Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.

External prices shown separately from the model, no-vig, calibrated, and scenario fields.

Odds API match markets

Decimal odds converted to no-vig 1X2 when available.

No match

No Odds API match was found for these teams.

Polymarket match markets

Fixture-specific market search; it does not feed the model.

No match

No active Polymarket match or exact-score market was found for these teams.

World Cup winner

This match's teams in the title race — rank and chance among all contenders, per Polymarket.

Tournament

No Polymarket signal is available right now.

Most likely scorelines

1-1 14.7%

0-0 9.3%

0-1 9.3%

1-2 8.8%

0-2 7.6%

1-0 7.0%

Goal markets

Total 0.5 Under 0.5 9.3% Over 0.5 90.7%

Total 1.5 Under 1.5 25.6% Over 1.5 74.4%

Total 2.5 Under 2.5 52.6% Over 2.5 47.4%

Total 3.5 Under 3.5 73.7% Over 3.5 26.3%

BTTS yes 54.0%

BTTS no 46.0%

Team markets

Home clean sheet 23.5%

Away clean sheet 31.8%

Home win to nil 14.2%

Away win to nil 22.4%

Home over 0.5 68.2%

Away over 0.5 76.5%

Handicap snapshot

Home -0.5

Home cover 27.6%

Push 0.0%

Away cover 72.4%

Home 0.0

Home cover 27.6%

Push 30.7%

Away cover 41.7%

Home 0.5

Home cover 58.3%