Ghana vs Panama

World Cup 2026 · Group L · Jun 17, 17:00 CDMX FT 1–0

All World Cup Fixtures

1X2 probability

Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.

Blended with no-vig market inputs. Model probability remains visible.

Market-blended

Ghana

Model probability 45.7%

Market no-vig 40.5%

Calibrated probability 43.1%

Draw

Model probability 28.1%

Market no-vig 30.2%

Calibrated probability 29.2%

Panama

Model probability 26.2%

Market no-vig 29.2%

Calibrated probability 27.7%

Market signals

Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.

External prices shown separately from the model, no-vig, calibrated, and scenario fields.

Odds API match markets

Decimal odds converted to no-vig 1X2 when available.

No match

No Odds API match was found for these teams.

Polymarket match markets

Fixture-specific market search; it does not feed the model.

No match

No active Polymarket match or exact-score market was found for these teams.

World Cup winner

This match's teams in the title race — rank and chance among all contenders, per Polymarket.

Tournament

No Polymarket signal is available right now.

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13.9%

1-0 9.4%

0-0 9.0%

2-1 8.7%

2-0 8.0%

0-1 7.3%

Goal markets

Total 0.5 Under 0.5 9.0% Over 0.5 91.0%

Total 1.5 Under 1.5 25.7% Over 1.5 74.3%

Total 2.5 Under 2.5 52.3% Over 2.5 47.7%

Total 3.5 Under 3.5 73.8% Over 3.5 26.2%

BTTS yes 53.2%

BTTS no 46.8%

Team markets

Home clean sheet 32.5%

Away clean sheet 23.2%

Home win to nil 23.6%

Away win to nil 14.2%

Home over 0.5 76.8%

Away over 0.5 67.5%

Handicap snapshot

Home -0.5

Home cover 43.1%

Push 0.0%

Away cover 56.9%

Home 0.0

Home cover 43.1%

Push 29.2%

Away cover 27.7%

Home 0.5

Home cover 72.3%