DR Congo vs Uzbekistan

World Cup 2026 · Group K · Jun 27, 17:30 CDMX FT 3–1

All World Cup Fixtures

1X2 probability

Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.

Blended with no-vig market inputs. Model probability remains visible.

Market-blended

DR Congo

Model probability 43.2%

Market no-vig 57.3%

Calibrated probability 50.3%

Draw

Model probability 28.5%

Market no-vig 24.7%

Calibrated probability 26.6%

Uzbekistan

Model probability 28.3%

Market no-vig 18.0%

Calibrated probability 23.1%

Market signals

Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.

External prices shown separately from the model, no-vig, calibrated, and scenario fields.

Odds API match markets

Decimal odds converted to no-vig 1X2 when available.

No match

No Odds API match was found for these teams.

Polymarket match markets

Fixture-specific market search; it does not feed the model.

No match

No active Polymarket match or exact-score market was found for these teams.

World Cup winner

This match's teams in the title race — rank and chance among all contenders, per Polymarket.

Tournament

No Polymarket signal is available right now.

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12.7%

1-0 11.2%

2-1 10.5%

2-0 9.2%

0-0 8.1%

0-1 5.9%

Goal markets

Total 0.5 Under 0.5 8.1% Over 0.5 91.9%

Total 1.5 Under 1.5 25.2% Over 1.5 74.8%

Total 2.5 Under 2.5 51.0% Over 2.5 49.0%

Total 3.5 Under 3.5 73.3% Over 3.5 26.7%

BTTS yes 52.9%

BTTS no 47.1%

Team markets

Home clean sheet 35.2%

Away clean sheet 20.0%

Home win to nil 27.1%

Away win to nil 11.9%

Home over 0.5 80.0%

Away over 0.5 64.8%

Handicap snapshot

Home -0.5

Home cover 50.3%

Push 0.0%

Away cover 49.7%

Home 0.0

Home cover 50.3%

Push 26.6%

Away cover 23.1%

Home 0.5

Home cover 76.9%