Algeria vs Austria

World Cup 2026 · Group J · Jun 27, 20:00 CDMX FT 3–3

All World Cup Fixtures

1X2 probability

Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.

Blended with no-vig market inputs. Model probability remains visible.

Market-blended

Algeria

Model probability 28.3%

Market no-vig 27.7%

Calibrated probability 28.0%

Draw

Model probability 28.5%

Market no-vig 45.4%

Calibrated probability 36.9%

Austria

Model probability 43.2%

Market no-vig 26.9%

Calibrated probability 35.1%

Market signals

Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.

External prices shown separately from the model, no-vig, calibrated, and scenario fields.

Odds API match markets

Decimal odds converted to no-vig 1X2 when available.

No match

No Odds API match was found for these teams.

Polymarket match markets

Fixture-specific market search; it does not feed the model.

No match

No active Polymarket match or exact-score market was found for these teams.

World Cup winner

This match's teams in the title race — rank and chance among all contenders, per Polymarket.

Tournament

No Polymarket signal is available right now.

Most likely scorelines

1-1 17.6%

0-0 11.2%

0-1 7.8%

1-2 7.3%

1-0 7.1%

2-1 7.0%

Goal markets

Total 0.5 Under 0.5 11.2% Over 0.5 88.8%

Total 1.5 Under 1.5 26.2% Over 1.5 73.8%

Total 2.5 Under 2.5 55.0% Over 2.5 45.0%

Total 3.5 Under 3.5 74.3% Over 3.5 25.7%

BTTS yes 55.4%

BTTS no 44.6%

Team markets

Home clean sheet 25.6%

Away clean sheet 30.2%

Home win to nil 14.4%

Away win to nil 18.9%

Home over 0.5 69.8%

Away over 0.5 74.4%

Handicap snapshot

Home -0.5

Home cover 28.0%

Push 0.0%

Away cover 72.0%

Home 0.0

Home cover 28.0%

Push 36.9%

Away cover 35.1%

Home 0.5

Home cover 64.9%