Czechia vs Mexico

World Cup 2026 · Group A · Jun 24, 19:00 CDMX FT 0–3

All World Cup Fixtures

1X2 probability

Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.

Blended with no-vig market inputs. Model probability remains visible.

Market-blended

Czechia

Model probability 37.9%

Market no-vig 21.1%

Calibrated probability 29.5%

Draw

Model probability 28.9%

Market no-vig 24.2%

Calibrated probability 26.5%

Mexico

Model probability 33.2%

Market no-vig 54.8%

Calibrated probability 44.0%

Market signals

Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.

External prices shown separately from the model, no-vig, calibrated, and scenario fields.

Odds API match markets

Decimal odds converted to no-vig 1X2 when available.

No match

No Odds API match was found for these teams.

Polymarket match markets

Fixture-specific market search; it does not feed the model.

No match

No active Polymarket match or exact-score market was found for these teams.

World Cup winner

This match's teams in the title race — rank and chance among all contenders, per Polymarket.

Tournament

No Polymarket signal is available right now.

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12.7%

0-1 10.6%

1-2 10.4%

0-0 8.0%

0-2 7.7%

1-0 6.8%

Goal markets

Total 0.5 Under 0.5 8.0% Over 0.5 92.0%

Total 1.5 Under 1.5 25.4% Over 1.5 74.6%

Total 2.5 Under 2.5 51.0% Over 2.5 49.0%

Total 3.5 Under 3.5 73.6% Over 3.5 26.4%

BTTS yes 53.7%

BTTS no 46.3%

Team markets

Home clean sheet 23.5%

Away clean sheet 30.8%

Home win to nil 15.5%

Away win to nil 22.8%

Home over 0.5 69.2%

Away over 0.5 76.5%

Handicap snapshot

Home -0.5

Home cover 29.5%

Push 0.0%

Away cover 70.5%

Home 0.0

Home cover 29.5%

Push 26.5%

Away cover 44.0%

Home 0.5

Home cover 56.0%