Switzerland vs Algeria

World Cup 2026 · Round of 32 · Jul 2, 21:00 CDMX FT 2–0

All World Cup Fixtures

1X2 probability

Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.

Blended with no-vig market inputs. Model probability remains visible.

Market-blended

Switzerland

Model probability 51.2%

Market no-vig 48.4%

Calibrated probability 49.8%

Draw

Model probability 27.2%

Market no-vig 29.8%

Calibrated probability 28.5%

Algeria

Model probability 21.7%

Market no-vig 21.7%

Calibrated probability 21.7%

Market signals

Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.

External prices shown separately from the model, no-vig, calibrated, and scenario fields.

Odds API match markets

Decimal odds converted to no-vig 1X2 when available.

No match

No Odds API match was found for these teams.

Polymarket match markets

Fixture-specific market search; it does not feed the model.

No match

No active Polymarket match or exact-score market was found for these teams.

World Cup winner

This match's teams in the title race — rank and chance among all contenders, per Polymarket.

Tournament

No Polymarket signal is available right now.

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13.6%

1-0 10.6%

2-0 9.5%

2-1 9.3%

0-0 9.0%

0-1 6.1%

Goal markets

Total 0.5 Under 0.5 9.0% Over 0.5 91.0%

Total 1.5 Under 1.5 25.7% Over 1.5 74.3%

Total 2.5 Under 2.5 52.4% Over 2.5 47.6%

Total 3.5 Under 3.5 73.7% Over 3.5 26.3%

BTTS yes 51.6%

BTTS no 48.4%

Team markets

Home clean sheet 37.2%

Away clean sheet 20.2%

Home win to nil 28.2%

Away win to nil 11.2%

Home over 0.5 79.8%

Away over 0.5 62.8%

Handicap snapshot

Home -0.5

Home cover 49.8%

Push 0.0%

Away cover 50.2%

Home 0.0

Home cover 49.8%

Push 28.5%

Away cover 21.7%

Home 0.5

Home cover 78.3%