Switzerland vs Canada

World Cup 2026 · Group B · Jun 24, 13:00 CDMX FT 2–1

All World Cup Fixtures

1X2 probability

Three views of the match: our model, the bookmaker line with the margin removed (no-vig), and the calibrated blend of both.

Blended with no-vig market inputs. Model probability remains visible.

Market-blended

Switzerland

Model probability 58.1%

Market no-vig 38.1%

Calibrated probability 48.1%

Draw

Model probability 25.4%

Market no-vig 32.3%

Calibrated probability 28.8%

Canada

Model probability 16.5%

Market no-vig 29.6%

Calibrated probability 23.1%

Market signals

Live bookmaker and Polymarket prices. The model is sampled independently; the calibrated 1X2 above blends it with the market line afterwards. These cards are context.

External prices shown separately from the model, no-vig, calibrated, and scenario fields.

Odds API match markets

Decimal odds converted to no-vig 1X2 when available.

No match

No Odds API match was found for these teams.

Polymarket match markets

Fixture-specific market search; it does not feed the model.

No match

No active Polymarket match or exact-score market was found for these teams.

World Cup winner

This match's teams in the title race — rank and chance among all contenders, per Polymarket.

Tournament

No Polymarket signal is available right now.

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13.7%

1-0 9.9%

0-0 9.7%

2-0 9.5%

2-1 8.0%

0-1 7.2%

Goal markets

Total 0.5 Under 0.5 9.7% Over 0.5 90.3%

Total 1.5 Under 1.5 26.8% Over 1.5 73.2%

Total 2.5 Under 2.5 53.7% Over 2.5 46.3%

Total 3.5 Under 3.5 74.7% Over 3.5 25.3%

BTTS yes 49.5%

BTTS no 50.5%

Team markets

Home clean sheet 38.4%

Away clean sheet 21.8%

Home win to nil 28.7%

Away win to nil 12.1%

Home over 0.5 78.2%

Away over 0.5 61.6%

Handicap snapshot

Home -0.5

Home cover 48.1%

Push 0.0%

Away cover 51.9%

Home 0.0

Home cover 48.1%

Push 28.8%

Away cover 23.1%

Home 0.5

Home cover 76.9%