TBD vs TBD
wc2026 · Quarter-final · Jul 12, 01:00 UTC
1X2 probability
Market odds unavailable. Results use the Dixon-Coles model projection.
home
Model probability
41.9%
Market no-vig
N/A
Calibrated probability
41.9%
draw
Model probability
27.9%
Market no-vig
N/A
Calibrated probability
27.9%
away
Model probability
30.1%
Market no-vig
N/A
Calibrated probability
30.1%
Polymarket signal
Public market prices shown separately from the model and calibrated probability.
No active Polymarket market was found for these teams.
Most likely scorelines
1-1
13.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
Goal markets
Total 0.5
Under 0.5 7.8%
Over 0.5 92.2%
Total 1.5
Under 1.5 23.4%
Over 1.5 76.6%
Total 2.5
Under 2.5 49.1%
Over 2.5 50.9%
Total 3.5
Under 3.5 71.1%
Over 3.5 28.9%
BTTS yes
55.9%
BTTS no
44.1%
Team markets
Home clean sheet
29.3%
Away clean sheet
22.7%
Home win to nil
21.5%
Away win to nil
14.8%
Home over 0.5
77.3%
Away over 0.5
70.7%
Handicap snapshot
Home -0.5
Home cover
41.9%
Push
0.0%
Away cover
58.1%
Home 0.0
Home cover
41.9%
Push
27.9%
Away cover
30.1%
Home 0.5
Home cover
69.9%
Push
0.0%
Away cover
30.1%
No scenarios computed yet — this fixture's future ensemble is still warming up.